this post was submitted on 25 Dec 2023
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Fixing car and e-bike batteries saves money and resources, but challenges are holding back the industry

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[–] partial_accumen 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

and most that aren’t is due to accidents.

You're making my point for me. The likelihood a car, any car BEV or not, is going to make it to your (unproven) theoretical point of being a problem is 1 in 4.

If your premise is that BEVs are good up until the 200k mark, then you're making a bad bet on your ICE or Hybrid needing to survive to the 200k mark to be worth it. With your numbers I have a 75% chance of being right, while you only have a 25% chance, and that's even if I agree with your premise (which I think is a bit suspect).