this post was submitted on 03 Dec 2023
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"Defaults by Chinese borrowers have surged to a record high since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, highlighting the depth of the country’s economic downturn and the obstacles to a full recovery,” the Financial Times reports.

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[–] Num10ck 9 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

its in US treasuries. if they try to sell them all at once the value would tank. they would have to sell in small pieces at a time to capture the value.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Look, why does everybody always assume people/business/countries to be rational actors in economics?

Haven't the past 20 fucking years put that theory to bed? There are no rational actors in economics, and lots of humans make wild decisions based on emotion or ideology or what-have-you, but often it has very little economic background.

I'm in the fucking US and we have one political party that claims it is the "pro-business party" and the "law and order party" but in both instances, they promote ideology and law that would undermine successful business strategies and undermines law and order. Republicans would love to be able to choose winners and losers in the economy, and they're too fuck-stupid (or they don't give a damn) that these dumbass ideas would break the economy they spend every day sucking off.

So, don't act like China selling them all at once isn't something that could conceivably happen in humans-aren't-fucking-rational-at-all reality.

[–] Num10ck 6 points 1 year ago

im pretty sure that when economics talks about people acting rationally in aggregate, its like when physicists talk about horses as being spheres. its a workable approximation for the scale they want to trend. we all know someone who spent a ridiculous amount of money on a horrible purchase, like elon musk buying twitter. but overall in general it averages out.

its not the flawed rationality of buyers and sellers thats ruining the economy.