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It would seem so. I think it's more like "everyone else knows they can't get the votes" though. There's going to be enough that don't want to give in to the MAGA extremists holding the party hostage and there's enough MAGA extremists to stop anyone halfway same from being elected speaker.
I have no idea how this fuckwit thinks he's going to get the votes. 10 to 20 seems extremely low. I bet the vote ends up more like 80-100 short.
I'd like to think so, but all indications are that they are falling in line behind Jordan. My guess is that this is mostly out of fatigue and the fact that none of the "sane moderates" are willing to take the position. Jordan will probably be speaker by the end of tomorrow.