this post was submitted on 08 Sep 2023
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Russia has already lost the war. Even if they take the entire country, they've lost.
They've turned the entire West against them, and they're feeling the ramifications from resultant economic sanctions.
NATO has been revitalized, at a time where a lot of the West was beginning to doubt its necessity.
Sweden and Finland have decided to join NATO as a direct consequence of the invasion.
The political left and center in the West are decidedly anti Russian now. Except for the extreme far right, the right is anti Russian as well. They've left a negative impression that Zoomers and Millennials won't forget easily.
Their military is seen as an international laughingstock. They can only make empty threats now, and their ability to project power is heavily diminished. Putin is no longer seen as a mastermind strategist.
You could even argue the government is as seen as weak with the Wagner coup and how far they got with little resistance.
Population collapse may be inevitable. COVID already took some of their working population. This war has taken even more of them, and they have a draft even. The working population may not be large enough to support the aging population nor the economy.
The draft and war in general led to a good number of intellectuals fleeing the country. Their best and brightest are gone.
I think we're going to look back and see this war as the beginning of the Putin regime's collapse.