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In many fields, the best players often come in second or third place consistently. This is because some reckless person risks way too much to come in first. The risky move has 90% chance to fail, but someone makes the 10% chance and wins big.
This is his play. Randomly guessing 70% of GOP voters consider Jan 6th a dangerous thing. He's letting all of the other candidates fight over the 70% while he tries to get the other 30% vote. He pretty much can't win with the traditional campaigning methods (although on average they are more likely to succeed) so he has to go risky. He's stuck with that position if it succeeds.
Or he could be a true believer. I lean towards most of it being a calculated play, though.