this post was submitted on 18 Aug 2023
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This article is a few months old now, but I think it's an incredibly important area of research and something that explains a lot of why America is like it is and how red states stay red.

Excerpt,

A study I co-authored with fellow researcher Kevin Morris, published in December in the American Political Science Review, finds that traffic stops by police stops in Hillsborough County reduced voter turnout in 2014, 2016, and 2018 federal elections.

Our study compared the voter turnout of Hillsborough motorists who were stopped by police shortly before and after each election. Drawing on information about each person’s turnout in past cycles, we found that these stops reduced the likelihood that a stopped individual turned out to vote by 1.8 percentage points on average. The effect held when accounting for characteristics like race, gender, party affiliation, past turnout, and prior traffic stops to improve our comparisons. The discouraging effect of stops was slightly higher in 2014 and 2018.

These results make clear that the collateral consequences of policing—including worsening outcomes for economic security, educational attainment, and health—also extend to political participation. If the communities who are most frequently subjected to policing are also discouraged from voting as a result, it could create a vicious feedback loop of political withdrawal.

Why would traffic stops make people less likely to show up to the polls? Past research has already established that the most disruptive forms of criminal legal contact, like arrest and incarceration, discourage people from voting. Our study shows that low-level police contact matters in the same way. If a traffic stop makes a motorist fear that the government will harm them, it can prompt a withdrawal from civic life that political scientists call “strategic retreat.” Motorists might worry that a routine traffic stop could escalate into police violence, a more common outcome for Black people in particular. Beyond justified fears of violent victimization, voters might also bristle at the perception of being targeted to raise revenue through excessive ticketing. Accordingly, if incarceration ‘teaches’ would-be voters that their government is an alienating and harmful force in their lives, traffic stops could catalyze a similar form of ‘learning.'

Full study is available here, and here's an archived thread from a dumb website where one of the research study authors answered questions.

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[–] [email protected] 19 points 1 year ago (2 children)

While I nominally agree, the paradox of tolerance must also be considered, particularly considering the alarming resurgence of authoritarian and outright fascist ideology (very specifically including neo-Naziism).

[–] TokenBoomer 12 points 1 year ago (2 children)

No doubt. Once the beliefs are ingrained, it’s near impossible to educate. People died with Covid in hospitals still believing that it was a hoax. I’m not saying that we should hug fascists. I’m just saying it helps to understand what made them fascists. Punching Nazis is a necessity.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Yep, I think we’re on the same page.

Tangentially, a simultaneously fascinating and dismaying thing to explore is how the Israeli state got from “holocaust survivors” to “actively implementing an apartheid state”, the potential future trajectories their government and country could take if their fundamentalist/xenophobic tendencies aren’t controlled and reversed. There are frankly very good reasons why they were so hostile to all of their Arab neighbors for so long (reductively: they all wanted to genocide them pretty much immediately, so it was very much a frying pan -> fire situation for Israel’s formative years as a country)… but there are also some good reasons why those neighbors were hostile to Israel’s establishment - really, the location of the land they were granted - since it was a pretty direct artifact of western imperialism (“we’ve owned this land for a while, but we’ll give it to you”, disregarding the millennia of history and various factions and ethnicities in the region) (but that doesn’t excuse the pretty overtly genocidal rhetoric coming from most of their neighbors for a VERY long time, immediately on the heels of the Holocaust). I think there’s a LOT of lessons to be learned there, even absent a presently workable and equitable solution for the region, if people are willing to look at the situation from a holistic and objective viewpoint.

[–] KoofNoof -2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

This sounds like fascist speak

[–] TokenBoomer -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yep, the Allies were fascist.

[–] KoofNoof 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The issue with the word fascism is that it only pertains to right leaning ideologies according to the dictionary definition. This provides liberal extremists a safe haven from negative labels as they feel free to force their views and silence opposition, which ironically seems to be what the definition of fascism SHOULD be, regardless of party

[–] PostmodernPythia 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Leftists have a term for that—red fascism. (Though plenty of people just use the left/right blind “authoritarianism.”) Also, I think you mean “left extremists” not “liberal extremists.” “Liberals,” in the American sense at least, are not left, and therefore couldn’t be the left counterpart to fascism. Plus, I don’t see Stalinism sweeping the globe, so I don’t see the need for equivalent terms.

Fascism’s definition comes from its origins. Mussolini’s and Hitler’s parties were fundamentally right-wing, and so are their ideological descendents. Whether or not you like that, it’s true.

[–] KoofNoof 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

In what ways were they right wing? I guess you don’t need to answer that, I can do my own research. Just seems like taking away guns and using propaganda to put everyone against a particular group seems like what the left is wanting to do in America today.

Modern day leftists are very “if you’re not with us, you’re against us”, and “anyone who is against us is anti-human and a stain on society”.

All it takes is more time for the division to escalate and I could see Republican views being considered terrorism and grounds for going into a prison camp

[–] PostmodernPythia 1 points 1 year ago

Since sending you off to Google “own the libs fascism” won’t do very much: The fourteen major elements of fascism identified by Umberto Eco in Ur-Fascism are here: https://www.openculture.com/2016/11/umberto-eco-makes-a-list-of-the-14-common-features-of-fascism.html Not sure how anyone could possibly misunderstand it being right wing. Was it the adherence to strict binary gender roles or the contempt for weakness that made you think it was leftist? /s

If you have a commonly accepted comprehensive definition of fascism you prefer, present it and we can discuss. Otherwise, here’s your answer.

[–] TokenBoomer -1 points 1 year ago

Wow, maybe if I had read “On Tyranny,” by Timothy Snyder. Or “Ur Fascism,” by Umberto Eco, I’d know that left wing authoritarians share traits with the far right.

[–] KoofNoof 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The issue is both sides think the other is the intolerant one

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Yeah, but one side is objectively WAY off base.