this post was submitted on 08 Mar 2025
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100%. The people who have turned away from the Republican party have only done so out of a distaste for Trump, and maybe Elon. They are almost certainly not opposed much of what is being done, just how they are going about it, and who is doing it.
Or, they've just had their faces eaten by leopards, and are upset that they're suffering the consequences of their actions.
You don't get to be a Republican in 2016 or 2024 without being ok with burning the whole system down, with dreams of it being to your own benefit. They just don't trust the current would-be monarchs to be the ones to actually give them what they believe they're due.
There's two kinds of people in this regard:
The "I escaped the alt-right pipeline" types, i.e. people realizing there's a cult and leaving it, and getting to understand more about where they've been and how they've been manipulated by an entire media ecosystem. They stop hating trans people, abortion, etc., practically changing their whole worldview as if leaving a religion. These I believe are legit because they make an effort to comprehend wtf happened so that it doesn't happen again, and they likely attempt to pull others out as well.
The casual types you described who will dodge a bullet here and there because a candidate rubs them the wrong way but they're still fundamentally the same: concerned only with incoherent grievance politics, and therefore deeply susceptible to the same manipulation tactics.