this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2025
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 17 hours ago (3 children)
[–] jj4211 4 points 7 hours ago

Beyond the statistical realities that Saleh mention, the general point about drop-off is also weird.

It implies that the GOP cheated, but declined to cheat in down ballot. This seems odd, if they had the will and capability to just change the votes, why would they skip the down ballot elections? Further another similar site pointed out the drop-off was uneven, that it was suspiciously higher in Montana than Michigan. To imply the GOP cheated more in Montana? When your theory indicates a bigger effort to cheat in a safe state than a swing state, then there's something going on.

The drop-off effect is easily explained by the reality that people weren't voting for a Republican or a Democrat, they were voting for or against Trump. That mindset is wholly separate from Republican v. Democrat. It's almost an Apples v. Oranges to try to compare a race with Trump to it to any other race (which is why the GOP is desperate to run him again, because even they don't understand how he engages the base and he is a useful idiot).

I'm glad to see it investigated and I wish that the voting populace didn't do what they did (and accept that without the suppression, the results might have gone the other way). However I don't think fraud has been proven in any significant degree.

Perhaps the democrats should emphasize vote in person on election day if at all possible, and mail-in is a last resort, rather than saying "voting is easy, just mail it in". It's obvious that they are having great success in discarding legitimate mail-in ballots the way they see fit.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 14 hours ago (2 children)

This is bullshit and this group is likely just out there to cash in on the election. What they claim to be suspicious patterns is just basic statistics.

If machines have a higher number of votes it is just to be expected that the spread of the results get smaller and towards the end result. The larger the sample size, the smaller the spread.

And the early voting machines had up to 250 votes per machine, whereas the election day machines only had around 125. At least in the graphics this group used in their own report. If you scale the graphic of the early machines only until 125 votes per machine they look similar.

Also on election day there were about 3000 machines as opposed to 1000. And here another basic truth comes up. If you repeat a sampling more often, the distribution of results becomes more even.

These guys are just describing basic statistic effects and claiming them to be suspicious, probably to collect donations and run with the money. Also their website is dubious about who they are exactly and what their credentials are.

There is legitimate criticisms and leads to investigate, but these guys are not one of them.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 hours ago

This was my gut feeling as well, not to mention it's a much less clear picture then what I posted.

I do want to add that I find it suspicious given Republicans frequently accuse the other side of doing what they either are actively doing, or plan to do, their continual pushing on voting being insecure and particularly mail in voting and early voting being particularly mabipulatable in their own words does make it seem more likely to me there could have been more shenanigans, not to mention that it was specifically mentioned that there were several breaches to two of the election systems in the years leading up to 2024... Very sus.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 hours ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 5 points 8 hours ago

i am not saying that there is no credible reasons to investigate if the election was done properly. however the "electiontruth" people do not provide any credible information for that. Also the video you linked does not seem to be about making a calm and proper argument, but rather to rile people up.

Again it is not impossible, that there have been irregularities, but it is something that needs to be analyzed and discussed properly. This is irrespective from needing to resist the Trump government, as it is a bunch of cirminals.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 17 hours ago

Good evidence to add to the pile, thank you for bringing it up!