Source: https://zeteo.com/p/poll-harris-democrats-gaza-ceasefire-arms-embargo
Other relevant polls:
this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2025
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It wasn't the Democratic voters that were the issue, they were never going to vote for Trump. Worst case scenario, they stay home. It was the independents and left-leaning Republicans that needed to be converted. There are a lot more of them, and they were frustrated by the southern border, the culture was and inflation.
I believe this isn't entirely accurate, but I appreciate the call for nuance. Overall, fewer 2020 Democratic voters participated in 2024, while Trump voters remained relatively steady.