this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2023
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Off My Chest

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Nuclear winter would kill almost all of us out— there would be no escaping it.

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[–] partial_accumen 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

While its a worry, if you were to graph the likelihood of this occurring, you're actually at possibly one of the lower points in human history. The peak would be during the 1960s and the Cuban Missile Crisis where US Nuclear bombers were in the air before being called off by Kennedy.

The next highest peak would have likely been in the early 80s with Reagan and the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI aka "Star Wars") which threatened to unbalance the sides.

Early 90s would be next, but lower still. Right up until the fall of the Soviet Union there could have been a last grasp.

But now its relatively unlikely in all out nuclear war resulting in Nuclear Winter. Russia may fire a tactical nuke in or near Ukraine, but even that would likely be met with a conventional response from NATO.

So the trend over decades is down not up that we'll have to face Nuclear Winter.

[–] orphiebaby 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I... am not sure I believe you. Putin basically made a statement that he would support full-scale nuclear war and that more or less "God would sort it out".

[–] jerrimu 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It is really less likely now, tensions used to be much much higher. In the 80s we had nuclear bomb drills.

[–] orphiebaby 1 points 1 year ago
[–] pyzn 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Wait do you have a source for that?

[–] orphiebaby 1 points 1 year ago

Uh... I'd have to look it up again.