this post was submitted on 13 Oct 2024
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That's not my understanding, which is that it's more-secure than that and doesn't require the doubling. Assuming the pages I linked are correct and that the understanding of them from my skim is correct, both of which may not be true:
About a decade-and-a-half ago, it was believed that AES of existing key lengths could be attacked via a known quantum algorithm -- Grover's algorithm -- using future quantum computers. However, the weakness induced was not sufficient to render AES of all key lengths practically vulnerable. it would be viable to simply increase key lengths, not redesign AES, sufficient to make it not attackable via any kind of near-future quantum computers.
At some point subsequent to that, it was determined that this attack would not be practical, even with the advance of quantum computers. So as things stand, we should be able to continue using AES with current keylengths without any kind of near-future quantum computer posing a practical risk.
Take all that with a huge grain of salt, as I'm certainly not well-versed in the state of quantum cryptography, and I'm just summarizing a few webpages which themselves may be wrong. But if it's correct, you were right originally that there aren't going to be near-term practical attacks on AES from the advance of quantum computing, not from any presently-known algorithm, at least.