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Code share so you can replicate the analysis yourself, https://codeshare.io/zl96xj. This is what I form my opinion: real actual data pulled as of about 30s ago when I ran the script.
Arizona. Increasing poll numbers up to the 10th of Sept. Declining polling since.
Florida, same story:
GA, same story:
MI, same story:
NV, same story:
Reality. Harris's poll numbers were going up for a while. They aren't any more. They are declining.
Love how the Dems haven't learned a single fucking thing from Hillary, and are already attacking statistical analysis showing that once again this will be an election won by the tiniest of margins.
I love how leftists produce their own data to support bullshit that they then feed one another on the daily here.
This “statistical analysis” is home-grown bullshit that’s been dismissed time and again. But you do you bud. In a month, we won’t have to hear from ant if you again. Because if Harris wins, you will all pile on the celebrations and pretend you had nothing to do with it, like you did in 2020-
and if she loses, you’ll disappear into a cloud of vapor and resurface as victims of your own ignorance, lie you did in 2016.
Aaaaand… where are you pulling this from exactly? OHHHH! Right it’s your own data. Amazing how it supports your argument.
You’ll have to excuse me while I laugh a bit before I summarily dismiss your nonsense.
These are from Nate Slivers data stores that I have access to. These are not his models, these are the raw poll results.
Thats because you don't live in reality.
Riiiiight. If you say so. It stil doesn’t change the fact that you’re using your own scripts to support points that disagree with pretty much everyone else.
Look man. I’ve been around a while. I see things. You’ve been called out over this by many- MANY people with FAR more patience than I have, so if you want to know my take on it-
Just reference EVERONE that has ever disagreed with your rhetoric. Maybe… I don’t know-
Write a script for it.
Bruh, its a simple fucking analysis that any one with two braincells to squeak together can understand. What was the trend for the last 30 days? What was the trend before that? How are things going?
But reality doesn't agree with your bias, so reality must be wrong.
“bRuH…”
No, it doesn’t agree with reliable polling. And even if we were to dismiss critical thinking and blindly assume that your biased results were accurate-
Polls don’t mean shit on Election Day.
So stop with the obvious attempts to disrupt an election and just let us get on with it,
mmmmkay?
Sure. Now that reality doesn't agree with your delusional vision of the world "it doesn't matter"
Or maybe, your attempt to deny reality is genuinely hurting the Democrats chances. Its fucking identical, what you are doing, to what happened in 2016. Its exactly what was happening before Biden dropped out.
You, quite literally, are the problem, and are significantly damaging Democrats chances this November.
I’m voting and hurting nothing but calling out bias. Walk away. Your bullshit polls are what’s hurting. But that’s the point… right?
You aren't here to help Democrats win.
lol… okay buddy. Carry on with your polling data that always seems to miraculously support your bias.
I’m sure no one that matters is buying it.
Its -quite fucking literally- because I use data to form my opinions. When the data disagrees with my opinion, I do this crazy fucking thing, where I change my opinion.
Its called "living in fact based world". Look it up.
But that impossible when your data always agrees with your agenda.
We’re done man. This is pointless.
These are just "national polls". Its not a new analysis. I run thousands of these kinds of analyses every month. Check my post on Bidens probability of winning. Check my post structural bias in polling. I'm sorry reality isn't what you want it to be, but that very much is a "you" problem.
Also, I shared the code with you. You can do your own work on it. Come up with an argument based on the data that validates or invalidates your thesis.
I called Biden dropping out literally 8 months before it happened, and basically to the week. Some asshole here still owes me $200 (I think they deleted their account over it). I called Kamala being the nom. I also thought it she was a great candidate, and she blew past my expectations for performance. I also called a decline/ stagnation in her polling if she didn't come out strongly on the issue of Israel Gaza.
Its literally all written into my post and comment history, just there, for any one to see.
I said I’m done.
Walk away.
You can leave any time kiddo.