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I think the fact that he's the incumbent is a bigger advantage than anyone aside from him can muster, but if he steps down as soon as the election is over that'd be good.
A bait and switch like that would clobber any trust the Democratic party has built up and cost them for at least a decade
I think that's a fair expectation, but I don't think they had much trust to begin with.
I agree. They had enough to get elected though. They pull this, I dunno, I think we're handing the federal government to the Republicans for a decade at least
At this point if we hand it to them for a single election it’s going to be 25 years before we resemble a democracy again.
That's a pretty compelling reason for Biden to not intentionally ruin their chances in 2028
Biden 2032
A lot less of an advantage when polling this badly in approval.
There's never been a president with this approval that won reelection.
I haven't been paying attention to the approval rating because I don't think it's relevant. People didn't like Biden last time either, and I've spoken to registered Republicans who said they'd vote for Biden even if he was a corpse. Lots of people really don't like Trump. Iirc, a president has only been re-elected after losing a single time in history as well, but I don't recall the circumstances.
Grover Cleveland. Only non consecutive presidency, so far. That happened in the late 1800s, so neither radio nor TV had been invented yet, and TV definitely changes the campaign.
Yeah, but last time Biden didn't have as many verbal gaffs and was generally viewed in a positive manner due to his connection with Obama. His presidency has been relatively stable (given how much interference from the Republicans during it), but in the last year his popularity has gone down due to his actions over Gaza (he could have loudly and publicly stated he did not agree with the Republicans in congress and boosted his approval ratings easily) and his increasingly worrying speech patterns. I don't actually think he has dementia (more that he's in his 80s), but calling one of our allies the name of their enemy could definitely cause a political issue. I do suspect that a lot of the previous voters will probably still vote Biden, but they would probably vote for any halfway decent politician that opposed Trump. The problem is that some less convinced voters have been berated when asking questions about his fitness for the next 4 years, which does raise the bs alarm. And yes, I know Republicans have definitely been stoking that fire, but if the default response is to deflect then you are going to make those potential voters anxious.
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https://youtu.be/UzxpjIGOp_w
Do you mean over the course of his life or per unit time? Because the first isn't an issue, and the second probably isn't true.
Per unit time. He's been having some mistakes and they have become more frequent. For example, when he basically planned a press conference to dispute/explain the verbal mistakes he made at the debate with Trump, and proceeded to have the massive one of calling Zylinski "Mr. Putin" about an hour before, causing them to cancel it. Again, he's in his 80s, but it is still pretty depressing to those that aren't supporting him completely due to his opposition to Trump.
They didn't cancel his NATO press conference. This is the press conference where Biden referred to his Vice President as "Vice President Trump".