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Failing to run a primary doesn't guarantee a win either. All it guarantees is that the incumbent gets less screen time before the election.
I don't pretend to foresee specific details, but the general arc of history is as apparent as it has been for the last 8 years.
Op-eds and headlines are bullshit. Watch the DNC chairperson to see where the party is headed: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dnc-chair-claims-biden-put-on-a-masterclass-during-error-laden-press-conference/ar-BB1pRTxA
Likewise, keeping your head in the sand and pretending that Biden could still win in November.
No we aren't, the convention isn't until September. The DNC could announce a different candidate today if they wanted, but they don't want to.
I think the DNC does, but only if Biden steps down. A hostile takeover would be pretty damaging. There's lots of insiders and major political players giving non-answers because they're not idiots, they saw the debate, they see the polling, they know he's dragging down other candidates. But under current rules, if Biden wants the nomination no one can do anything about it, so they're hedging their bets because it's very likely grandpa's ego will force them to campaign for him after all.