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I actually agree that Biden's performance was a big problem. Also, the polls are feckin useless, but seeing the relative change that happened because of some event is actually like the one thing they can do pretty well. If you remember the middle school science chart of accuracy vs. precision, they have dogshit accuracy which was off by an average of 16 percentage points when I investigated it for some recent elections, but against all odds they actually are precise.
So, that said: Here's an overview of recent polling.
I am beginning to share Trump's hatred for the media
Re trumps numbers after conviction, I think the conviction was a forgone conclusion for most people. Having 12 people confirm what you already know is true doesn't make someone flip their vote.
If the trial had been televised with Trump asleep in court, I think you would have seen a bugger drop but it would have preceded the actual conviction.