FlowVoid

joined 1 year ago
[–] FlowVoid 35 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Yes, I'm sure this would all be very sad for Palestinians but the important thing is that Genocide Joe learned his lesson.

[–] FlowVoid 0 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Nobody can see the future, not even you.

But the way things are going, I would bet that Democrats win the House and/or Senate in 2026 and have an excellent shot at the presidency in 2028.

In fact, last week a Democrat flipped a Trump +21 district in an Iowa special election. And that Democrat was a centrist.

[–] FlowVoid 0 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

The electorate wanted the change that Trump promised, and that's what we're getting.

In 2028, the electorate will probably reconsider.

[–] FlowVoid -1 points 2 weeks ago

My only point is that the 2028 nominee is likely a current Democratic governor.

And if you don't believe that, then you're the one who isn't paying attention to the political landscape.

[–] FlowVoid -2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

I don't think requiring evidence is an "excuse". And so far there is little evidence that leftists can win statewide elections, which is a prerequisite for winning the presidency.

Conversely, if leftists start consistently winning elections then there is little that the party can do to stop them. That's basically how MAGA took over the GOP.

[–] FlowVoid 0 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (6 children)

They should only change if a different approach were proven to work better.

Practically speaking, that means leftists need to consistently win gubernatorial elections before a leftist can become a presidential nominee.

[–] FlowVoid -3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (2 children)

One of those governors will likely be the next Democratic nominee. And they all have a history of running as centrists. Not just in 2024, but in all of their previous campaigns.

Newsom, Pritzker, Beshear, Shapiro, etc aren't going to spontaneously embrace socialism in 2028. And I'm sorry to disappoint you, but an 82 year old Bernie Sanders won't be running in 2028.

[–] FlowVoid -2 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

It didn't work for Kamala Harris. But it's how Biden beat Trump. And it worked for over 20 sitting Democratic governors, one of whom will very likely be the next Democratic nominee.

[–] FlowVoid -2 points 2 weeks ago (8 children)

Not this time. But Obama and Clinton successfully ran as a centrists, and I expect Democrats will try again in the future.

[–] FlowVoid -3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (16 children)

Harris lost in 2024 because Latino and Gen Z males who voted for Biden in 2020 swung to Trump in 2024.

Those voters are centrist/independents, and identify as neither Democrat nor Republican. They voted Democrat in 2020 and Democrats need to win them back in 2028.

[–] FlowVoid 6 points 2 weeks ago

If he only cares about stock prices then next week he's in for a big disappointment.

[–] FlowVoid 5 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

More than half of the top ten companies by market cap do pay dividends: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, Broadcom, and Walmart.

Not all do, of course. That's exactly why some of those "high value" stocks are probably in a bubble, and soon to become not so high value.

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