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submitted 7 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[-] [email protected] 15 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

My prediction:

  • Either SA has intel that Hezbollah is going to escalate and current conflict is going to expand.

  • It's very unlikely that SA would push ahead with the deal with the US/Israel. If they did, it would be because they felt they felt they need security guarantees asap due to Iran escalating. This would make Saudi citizens potential targets for reprisals.

  • Least exciting but not improbable explanation is that they'd rather be overly cautious despite there being no new intel. They're simply preparing for the seemingly inevitable ground offensive into Gaza.

[-] FlyingSquid 1 points 7 months ago

It’s very unlikely that SA would push ahead with the deal with the US/Israel.

I'm guessing that's a big unspoken reason for this escalation. There are a lot of people on the Israeli side that don't want a deal with the Saudis and a lot of people on the Hamas side that would love the Saudis allying with them.

this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2023
42 points (97.7% liked)

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