this post was submitted on 08 Sep 2023
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What explains this sudden growth and the sudden decline of Linux in Ukraine?

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[–] [email protected] 56 points 1 year ago

The one Ukrainian Linux user without an adblocker started visiting a website that still has a statcounter widget on it, but he got tired of it after a while and stopped?

[–] [email protected] 44 points 1 year ago

What explains this sudden growth and the sudden decline of Linux in Ukraine?

Do we even know that there was a sudden growth or decline of Linux? This is a percentage graph. It is not very useful without also knowing the total number of users over that time. Could be that a massive amount of users stopped over that time, but for what ever reason fewer using Linux did than Windows did. Or if there was a massive increase it could be from bots or similar attacks. These graphs are very hard to draw any conclusions from due to what they are and how they were collected (which I believe is basically what user agents report on some websites) without a lot more other information. All we really know is that the market share for webtraffic started reporting more Linux based user agent strings (or what ever they use to tell) in relation to windows ones for a time before normalising again.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 year ago

Looks like a sampling error.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 year ago

Steamdeck drone controllers?

[–] mvirts 13 points 1 year ago

All of the traffic generators were initially set to a Linux user agent, switched once they realized it looked suspicious

[–] Wispy2891 6 points 1 year ago

Maybe some Russian DDoS Attack from hacked routers in the invaded areas

[–] gerardda 6 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Probably a Microsoft and/or Gates injunction; all of Ukrainian data is hosted on Azure, gov't and military..

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Probably a widespread rumor that the US was somehow interefring their fight against Russia through Windows, once those rumors were proven wrong, the new Linix userbase vanished.

[–] [email protected] -5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I like the simultaneous Windows usage drop, can't be coincidental.

[–] [email protected] 24 points 1 year ago

It is not at all coincidental. The graph is a total percentage graph. All the lines affect all other lines on the graph. If one rises then others must drop to maintain 100% total. What this does not tell you is if the total windows users dropped, or stayed the same or even if they also grew. Only that relative to Linux the total percentage of windows users dropped.

This could be because a lot of people use Windows and the few niches that do use Linux were less affected by events then the total population. Or that there was a sudden influx of requests from Linux systems for some abnormal reason (like an automated ddos attack).