this post was submitted on 17 Jan 2025
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Загальні бойові втрати противника з 24.02.22 по 17.01.25 (орієнтовно)

#NOMERCY #stoprussia

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[–] Buffalox 13 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago) (2 children)

This is about middle of the winter, and Russia (Putin) continues with their insane offensive, maybe an attempt to look strong before negotiations.

But with only 3 days until Trump's inauguration, let's have a look at what Putin is doing to Russia, aside from the horrendous human losses.

The points are numbered so it's easier to comment on individual points:

  1. Central bank interest rate at 21% an all time high.
  2. Inflation even acknowledged by the central bank is more than twice the economic target. But in reality probably double that again.
  3. The inflation hits ALL essentials. with steep increases in food, housing and electricity.
  4. Real estate market frozen due to end of preferential treatment of real estate loans. With collapse in the near future very likely.
  5. State running at a deficit, despite tax increases and pushing cost to businesses.
  6. Gazprom near bankrupt, with the rest of the energy industry struggling too.
  7. The industrial complex should be making money, but is running at significant deficits, because the state dictate the prices. And banks are FORCED to lend money to it to keep it running.
  8. Shortage of base products like butter, eggs and vegetables.
  9. Persistent rumors about frozen bank accounts, signaling an eminent collapse of the financial market.
  10. Investments almost at a complete standstill, due to interest rates and most companies running at deficits, making even maintaining current productivity impossible.
  11. Pensions (about $200) have become impossible to live on, due to rising cost. Causing widespread poverty.
  12. Shortage of workers, in an unsustainable overheated economy, that at the same time is effectively in recession now.
  13. The economic cost of the war, is estimated to be more than twice what the budget shows, with the real cost hidden using different types of economic trickery, that hides the cost, but obviously don't change reality.

So this is Putin's attempt at looking strong!?
Please let me know if I forgot anything.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

Lets see:

  • Soviet era weapon storage is running empty
  • national wealth fund is emptying
  • sanctions hurting trade badly
  • foreign workers stay out of Russia due to the massive increase of racisim
  • huge emigration waves due to the war
  • many foreign companies left Russia
  • increase of crime, due to lack of cops and a lot of criminals being freed
  • rubel looses a lot of value

But also fairly importantly a lot of Russians benefit from the war. The soldiers pay is great and the worker shortage means higher wages. That really has to break

[–] Buffalox 1 points 14 hours ago

Nice, very worthy points. 👍 😀

[–] [email protected] 1 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Russians don't care, Putin as well. Meat wave offensive Zhukov-style works just fine for everyone involved. As long as they are winning even 1 meter per day with current losses or even 2 or 3 time higher nothing is going to cnange.

[–] Buffalox 1 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

Putin will absolutely care when his beloved Russian federation collapses because he has been an idiot.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 12 hours ago (2 children)

It won't. In imaginary scenario where it won't get all help imaginable from everyone to not collapse, at worst they will become real federation. There is nothing indicating that it will collapse, certainly not due economic reasons.

[–] Buffalox 1 points 4 hours ago

You are aware the Soviet union collapsed due to economic reasons right?
Russia is in just about the exact same position now that the Soviet Union was back then.

[–] thebestaquaman 3 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

I dont know exactly what you mean by "collapse", but they're obviously spending far more money than what they can sustain.

They're spending a lot on keeping the looks good and suppressing information and protests, but you can only keep people who can't afford food or a home suppressed for so long.

Not saying that is the case now, but with an interest rate at > 20 %, and decreasing industrial output, they're going to reach a breaking point sometime.

Just think about the fact that in any democratic country, the current economic situation in Russia would have caused the government to be thrown out long ago- even without considering all the casualties from the war.

I definitely think that Russia at some point will be unable to keep the people locked down, and that the current people in charge will be forced out of power. The resulting degree of fragmentation, power struggle, and "collapse" of the Russian Federation just depends on how far they are able to draw the string before it snaps.

[–] Buffalox 1 points 4 hours ago

Just think about the fact that in any democratic country, the current economic situation in Russia would have caused the government to be thrown out long ago- even without considering all the casualties from the war.

That's a VERY good point.