this post was submitted on 17 Jan 2025
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This is about middle of the winter, and Russia (Putin) continues with their insane offensive, maybe an attempt to look strong before negotiations.
But with only 3 days until Trump's inauguration, let's have a look at what Putin is doing to Russia, aside from the horrendous human losses.
The points are numbered so it's easier to comment on individual points:
So this is Putin's attempt at looking strong!?
Please let me know if I forgot anything.
Lets see:
But also fairly importantly a lot of Russians benefit from the war. The soldiers pay is great and the worker shortage means higher wages. That really has to break
Nice, very worthy points. 👍 😀
Russians don't care, Putin as well. Meat wave offensive Zhukov-style works just fine for everyone involved. As long as they are winning even 1 meter per day with current losses or even 2 or 3 time higher nothing is going to cnange.
Putin will absolutely care when his beloved Russian federation collapses because he has been an idiot.
It won't. In imaginary scenario where it won't get all help imaginable from everyone to not collapse, at worst they will become real federation. There is nothing indicating that it will collapse, certainly not due economic reasons.
You are aware the Soviet union collapsed due to economic reasons right?
Russia is in just about the exact same position now that the Soviet Union was back then.
I dont know exactly what you mean by "collapse", but they're obviously spending far more money than what they can sustain.
They're spending a lot on keeping the looks good and suppressing information and protests, but you can only keep people who can't afford food or a home suppressed for so long.
Not saying that is the case now, but with an interest rate at > 20 %, and decreasing industrial output, they're going to reach a breaking point sometime.
Just think about the fact that in any democratic country, the current economic situation in Russia would have caused the government to be thrown out long ago- even without considering all the casualties from the war.
I definitely think that Russia at some point will be unable to keep the people locked down, and that the current people in charge will be forced out of power. The resulting degree of fragmentation, power struggle, and "collapse" of the Russian Federation just depends on how far they are able to draw the string before it snaps.
That's a VERY good point.