It won't. In imaginary scenario where it won't get all help imaginable from everyone to not collapse, at worst they will become real federation. There is nothing indicating that it will collapse, certainly not due economic reasons.

[–] Buffalox 1 points 4 hours ago

You are aware the Soviet union collapsed due to economic reasons right?
Russia is in just about the exact same position now that the Soviet Union was back then.

[–] thebestaquaman 3 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

I dont know exactly what you mean by "collapse", but they're obviously spending far more money than what they can sustain.

They're spending a lot on keeping the looks good and suppressing information and protests, but you can only keep people who can't afford food or a home suppressed for so long.

Not saying that is the case now, but with an interest rate at > 20 %, and decreasing industrial output, they're going to reach a breaking point sometime.

Just think about the fact that in any democratic country, the current economic situation in Russia would have caused the government to be thrown out long ago- even without considering all the casualties from the war.

I definitely think that Russia at some point will be unable to keep the people locked down, and that the current people in charge will be forced out of power. The resulting degree of fragmentation, power struggle, and "collapse" of the Russian Federation just depends on how far they are able to draw the string before it snaps.

[–] Buffalox 1 points 4 hours ago

Just think about the fact that in any democratic country, the current economic situation in Russia would have caused the government to be thrown out long ago- even without considering all the casualties from the war.

That's a VERY good point.