Apparently my area will get a lean Labour win. I bloody hope so, my Tory MP is useless. Aren't they all?
this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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UK Politics
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[email protected] appears to have vanished! We can still see cached content from this link, but goodbye I guess! :'(
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They split my constituency, so what I thought was going to be an easy lib dem victory may not be?!
Electoral calculus think a 9% lib dem victory 🤷♂️
I'd suggest checking the recent actual election results (previous GE, locals and any by-elections), then checking a few different tools to see the predictions, and kind of taking the average of that.
Of course, you can always donate money and/or campaign somewhere other than where you live. I'm in a 100% Labour hold, according to electoral calculus, so I've been doorknocking elsewhere.
I see an article but I don't see anywhere to "check" what am I doing wrong? Loading this on mobile Firefox for context.
Edit: it was the ad blocker. All good now. Labour hold.
Cool, well now the link's working, and not to sound like a looping spambot, but I wouldn't use this MRP to decide your vote. The MRPs have such huge variance this time because of the historic size of the swing from the Tories to Labour (and everyone else) that it's really difficult to be accurate with this analysis.
Link is broken for me! Is it this one?
Thanks, there's some funny business with the link - should be working now.