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How Inevitable is Biden’s Nomination, According to Manifold Superforecasters?
(news.manifold.markets)
Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Any decision we make is based on a prediction what will happen. Here we study and discuss how to do that well.
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Forecasting can be about economics, marketing, products, finance, technology, policies, demographics, energy, climate, crime, politics, or whatever.
Gonna go ahead and guess 99% without clicking the link
The market now gives Biden an 89% chance (up from a brief low of 86% after the Klein article)
Listen: This is how Bernie can still win: ...