this post was submitted on 11 May 2024
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Data Vizualisations

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Polling performance for the 2020 election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Relative error is a metric for evaluating the accuracy of poll predictions relative to actual voting outcomes. Relative error is calculated as (observed−expected)/observed, where the "observed" value represents actual election results, and the "expected" value denotes the predicted results from polls. This statistic helps to identify the proportion by which polls under or overestimate support for a candidate. In this figure, a positive relative error indicates that the polls underestimated the candidate's actual support, while a negative value suggests an overestimation.

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[–] wazzup 3 points 7 months ago

Thanks for the explanation. I guess my memory AND polling isn't very reliable.