this post was submitted on 30 Apr 2024
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USpolitics
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You see those big shady areas around those lines? Those are margins of error... They're about four times as wide as the reported difference.
Thus, with a p >.95 I can confidently report that Trump and Biden are not statistically different and thus the same person /s
hahaha, thanks for the comment, made me chuckle!
Looking at the polls: https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden-trump-rfk-general/
The first poll:
It seems it says +/- 2% margin of error for total sample, just for this one poll though:
1a:
1b:
1c:
Here is one of the polls:
https://harvardharrispoll.com/topline-april-3/
https://harvardharrispoll.com/key-results-april-3/
https://harvardharrispoll.com/crosstabs-april-3/