this post was submitted on 26 Apr 2024
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They want redundancy. What if Musk goes crazy in a new direction and decides to retire Dragon.
They should have thought of redundancy for the HLS. For one, you have a space fuel depot with cryogenic boil off that has to be refilled by multiple (at least 12?) starships. And then you have a slender long full rocket stage that has to land vertically on soft and unprepared lunar regolith. For some reason, my engineering instincts are revolting just at the thoughts of it.
NASA wanted redundancy, and will eventually get it.
2020: https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/04/nasa-awards-lunar-lander-contracts-to-blue-origin-dynetics-and-starship/
2021: https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/04/nasa-selects-spacex-as-its-sole-provider-for-a-lunar-lander/
SpaceX is the only affordable option, but BO makes a fuss: https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/08/heres-why-blue-origin-thinks-it-is-justified-in-continuing-to-protest-nasa/
2023: https://arstechnica.com/space/2023/05/blue-origin-wins-pivotal-nasa-contract-to-develop-a-second-lunar-lander/