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Iran has 85 million people, Israel has around 10 million. I guess they're assuming big daddy Biden has their back, despite Netanyahu repeatedly ignoring him.
They don't share a border, so they will fight either completely aerial or on foreign lands like Iraq. Population is important of course but not on small scale aerial skirmishes.
I understand that but Netanyahu seems hellbent on starting a regional war. If this escalates I'm not sure that the lack of a shared border is going to mean a whole lot. It's still a small country, hiding behind the US, picking fights with much bigger nations.
A significant portion of the destruction will come from ballistic missiles.
As far as aerial combat, it will depend on who will let who fly over their respective countries. I can't see a situation where Israel and Iran go at it directly and it doesn't escalate to a regional war. I doubt it will remain between just those two countries for long.