this post was submitted on 20 Mar 2024
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[–] Maggoty 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Yes I am. It's a fun bit of disingneous writing. They heavily cite everything around that claim, but not that claim. Because all of that other stuff can be true while people are still struggling. And it's not that he hasn't done good things. It's that his campaign is gaslighting the country. 63% of Americans reported they still weren't able to buy as much as they used to in January.

This is what I posted elsewhere-

Here's Gallup actually asking the people and not an economist quoting the most generalized of statistics to cover up real conditions on the ground. It is entirely possible for the economy to grow, for unemployment to drop, and inflation to be less, while the working class is evicted en masse.

63% of U.S. adults say recent price increases have caused financial hardship for their family. This includes 17% who say it is a severe hardship affecting their ability to maintain their standard of living and 46% who report it is a moderate hardship but does not jeopardize their standard of living. Another 37% of Americans say inflation is not a hardship at all.

The current 63% saying rising prices are a personal hardship reflects a continuation of peak concern on this measure since Gallup started monitoring it in November 2021. In that initial reading, 45% reported a severe or moderate hardship. The rate inched up in 2022 even as inflation ebbed, perhaps reflecting the cumulative effect of higher prices rather than the rate itself.

Those in lower-income households (76%) are more likely than those in middle-income households (64%) and higher-income households (54%) to say price increases are causing them hardship. However, income differences are even more pronounced when looking just at those saying the impact is severe. Lower-income Americans (30%) are three times as likely as high-income adults (10%) and almost twice as likely as middle-income adults (16%) to characterize high prices as a severe hardship.

63% of people reporting something like that means that's their lived experience. Right or not, they don't want to see the president whining about people not understanding what he's done. And when the number is that high there's a very good chance the top level numbers are hiding things. Furthermore, wages would have had to go up a crazy amount this year to cover the inflation from the last few years. The last year the Census has data available for, 2022, reports a 2 percent decrease in wages against inflation. We get the 2023 numbers from them around September. This is all preliminary numbers from BLS which shows an increase of about 4.3 percent in the "working class". (production and nonsupervisory) Meaning they just barely broke past the 4 percent CPI inflation last year. The two years preceding were 8 and 4.7. And CPI doesn't include food purchases where there's been wild inflation for the last 3 years.

Tl;Dr - Yeah Zach Carter lied. He lied about that sentence and did a professional job of wondering why people could possibly be angry.

[–] _tezz 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

I don't really think that the Gallup poll you linked refutes Carter's point, actually. Gallup and Carter are examining completely different data, and honestly, Gallup doesn't make a claim about what the cause is for these findings.

The poll states that 68% of Americans thought in December that the economy was worsening. But looking a little further, actually 64% of Democrats thought it was getting better, compared to only 8% of Republicans. It kind of feels like this is the actual information we should be concerned with in the poll, and that you're only giving me part of the information for some reason.

Regarding the CPI, it does track food and beverage as a core category.

https://bls.gov/CPI/questions-and-answers/

The CPI represents all goods and services purchased for consumption by the reference population (U or W). BLS has classified all expenditure items into more than 200 categories, arranged into eight major groups (food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other goods and services). Included within these major groups are various government-charged user fees, such as water and sewerage charges, auto registration fees, and vehicle tolls.

I agree we have a lot of work to do still, but I'm sure we can also agree that a significant portion of Americans are also not very informed and generally make poor financial choices.

[–] Maggoty 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

That's what you're going with? Over half the country is just making poor financial choices?

I'll give you that I mixed up core inflation and CPI.

[–] _tezz 0 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

I mean yeah, you yourself are here arguing the wrong facts, and I assume you consider yourself educated. You think a high school graduate in Iowa is going to have received financial literacy education? I severely doubt it.

I also am actually going with the fact that the data you gave me is highly partisan in nature. Republicans are in another reality man. I think we'd be doing ourselves a disservice falling for their talking points.

[–] Maggoty 1 points 5 months ago

They didn't only survey partisan people. That's the percentage of people who responded and identified as Democrat/Republican. Political apathy polls also consistently sit at about half the country.

And campaigning on, "you're all just stupid" is a very brave move. That alone would answer the question the author so bravely poses and then ignores.