this post was submitted on 20 Mar 2024
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OK.
It's just a family of extrapolators, enhanced with various tricks, similar to those used in variable-length codes.
It can't reason, build logical structures, it doesn't have abstract thinking or any thinking.
It may be used as one of the building blocks for real AGI like 100 years from now, but the existing thing is not that, and there's no way it'll become that via small incremental changes.
Thanks! I don't know what you mean by your first paragraph.
You're right that it's not near being an AGI. But it doesn't need to be to be used in a robot form and perform some useful tasks.
Right now I can ask chatgpt to take a block of code in Ruby and output the equivalent in Python, and it will do it, and for the most part it's correct.
I could envision telling an AI robot to sort this pile of parts by type, or pick up all the sticks in the yard, etc. I think we could make something like that now without any significant technological breakthroughs. It might get stuff wrong sometimes, but I envision it as having an intern, not creating a new god. Of course these companies may promise much more in their marketing.