this post was submitted on 23 Jan 2024
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In primary season it isn't necessarily and for the presidential election specifically it doesn't either due to the electoral college.
There are a handful of battleground states and a couple states that do split their electors in some way.
But for everyone else? Their vote is mostly an advisory vote.
There is always the risk of a candidate being so unpopular they actually drive their own party away from voting for them, but that can't really be on the voters at that point.
You never know* if your state is going to be a swing state until after the election.
* Not literally "never", CA or NJ aren't going for Trump, but there are some states that may feel fairly safe that could be up for grabs.
I love to point to WV for an example of this. It's the reddest of red states now, but if I told you that in the mid 90s you'd have thought I was insane. The first woman they sent to Congress was more notable for being the first Republican they elected to Congress in half a century, which is even longer proportionally for a state that was founded during the Civil War.