this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2024
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[–] raspberriesareyummy 39 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That's.... thats's not how this works.

[–] drdabbles 35 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It's exactly how this works, and during a quarterly review with Samsung, they literally told me they were doing this. Nobody in the industry is surprised by this.

Not sure why you'd deny what you literally see happening.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

It shouldn't (edited) matter if the rise the prices. Nobody's buying, right?

[–] drdabbles 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] drdabbles 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ok. Well, people are buying all the production. But production is down. And they control the price so they raised that too.

Welcome to free market capitalism.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

You are free to open a competing fab!

[–] drdabbles 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

You are free to do so nevertheless!

[–] raspberriesareyummy 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

The only claim in this thread that demand is down is from you. When demand is already low, prices going up makes no sense.

This is not to say that someone wouldn't do it anyways, but then there's also Erdoğan who lowered interests to "combat inflation" against advice of his central bankers, whom he fired. Then inflation becomes worse and surprised Pikachu face ensues

[–] drdabbles 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I have information directly from the three main manufacturers. Demand is down, production is down, so in order to not show losses on the balance sheet prices went up.

TSMC did the same thing last year- raised prices by around 27% for all customers. Because demand is way, WAY down. Sadly their increase wasn't enough to stave off a drop in revenue.

When you have the whole market cornered, normal supply and demand economics don't apply.

[–] raspberriesareyummy 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Do they have a captive audience for those who still have a demand? I can understand "look, if we have to keep the production lines going to provide you with required hardware, of which we are not selling as much as we used to, we have to raise prices" - but if the customers who still buy are flexible, this would only mean even less people buy.

[–] drdabbles 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Customers are fairly inflexible. If you need storage or ram for 10k new servers, that's it. You have to have it. And since all manufacturers raised prices, you're going to spend more. Making matters worse, if you have to onboard another vendor to safe a few tens of thousands of dollars, you can easily spend hundreds of thousands on time and resources to go through a qualification cycle alone.

Home computers make up a significantly smaller portion of the computer component space. So while this might prevent a person from upgrading their SSD or building a DDR 5 equipped gaming computer, that's small percentages of sales. A single corporate relationship account will buy thousands of devices at a time, larger accounts will buy tens of hundreds of thousands. A cloud operator building 10k servers with 12 channels of RAM will buy 24 dimms per server. It's a totally different game.

[–] raspberriesareyummy 1 points 1 year ago

In principal I would say "fair enough", except that for cloud operators, the service prices would also probably increase, possibly leading to less end user demand for cloud space. Anyways, your point is well constructed, I concede ;) Although the logic "less customers, therefore let's raise prices" would drive a lot of vendors into bankrupcy.