118
Houthi official promises safe passage for Russian, Chinese ships through Red sea
(www.newindianexpress.com)
this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2024
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It's coming, the groundwork is already being laid. I just saw several articles about Iran possessing nuclear material to build several bombs ...
That ‘iran has enough material to build a bomb’ headline is just fear-mongering to increase support for western operations in iran (which by the way would be disastrous for all countries involved, think the war in Iraq but with outcomes that are 10 times worse). Just getting enough fissile material isn’t enough to make a viable nuclear weapons program. You need a viable nuclear weapons delivery system. You need to miniaturise the bomb to fit on your weapons system. If you manage to make the bomb but it weighs 50 tonnes, requires a liquid tritium factory on site and you only have one you haven’t created a nuclear weapons program. You’ve made a really destructive physics experiment.
I wouldn’t start getting worried until Iran starts testing ICBM, submarines, satellites and command and control structures that can handle the responsibility of nuclear weapons. In the mean time they probably refining materials for civilian and political reasons.
That was my point, the fear mongering about nuclear weapons is going to be the excuse they use to invade Iran. Doesn't matter how likely it really is(see Iraq and WMDs).
The whole place is already a shit show. I don't know how much more disasterous it can get. My only real concern would be if Pakistan and India got involved. Not that I'm hoping for the war to spread but I'm not seeing many options.