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"Biden realizes his polling numbers are falling and decides to do damage control".
Israel is not going to be a winning issue in terms of poll numbers.
Every issue is a winning (or losing) issue in presidential elections. There's far too many factors to assume any one thing can't sway the tide.
Hillary made that mistake in 2016.
There may be many factors but to just throw your hands up and say every issue is equally important is just plain foolish.
It's a matter of what factors get activated enough for it to be a leading one. If Noone was talking about the border and instead the discussion would be about something else.. the "something else" would be a major factor, not the border. Maga extremists are pushing the border narrative hard and pivot to it each appearance they have. Hence its an important issue.. in what snippets I see flying past.. its border security and finances on one side.. Trump lawsuits and Ukraine on the other. Israel comes up less frequently.
The media and public debate play a big role in what factors get activated for it to be decisive.