this post was submitted on 06 Jan 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Linked, an interactive world map that shows different coastal flooding scenarios, over time. Six years from now, parts of Texas will be migrating inland.

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[–] OhmsLawn 1 points 10 months ago

Edit: playing with this map, I noticed that there isn't a current conditions setting. I suspect much of the red that we see in 2030 is currently, technically underwater. It's just protected in some way.

Moving from 2030 to 2130 shows continued land-mass recession, but in no way does it continue the trend we would see if current conditions were no flooding and 2030 had SFO and Foster City underwater.