this post was submitted on 26 Dec 2023
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Edit: Goddamnit will one of you please comprehend my question and give a relevant response.

I didn't ask whether or not you think souls are real or what you think about Buddha

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[โ€“] [email protected] 0 points 11 months ago (1 children)

There are 8 billion peope alive right now, we've got 5 billion years until the sun dies. Compared to the length of a single human life, that might as well be an infinite number of tries.

[โ€“] Alexstarfire 0 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I think you underestimate the amount of possibilities in life. Even 5 billion tries isn't all that much.

[โ€“] [email protected] -1 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

Edit: The below is all wrong, I'm good at abstract maths and really shit at numbers, forgive me.

I think you missed me saying "compared to a single human life." Sure, there's no way literally everyone will get "the best possible life" or something, but a single person has very roughly 5ร—10^9ร—10^10รท10^2 is 5ร—10^17 attempts assuming a 100 year life span.

And you only have to get it once, ultimately the probability depends on whatever the criteria here is, which frankly I don't know, assuming it just means "is a billionaire" that's around a 2ร—10^-7 chance each time, assuming 2000 ish billionaires in a 10^10 population.

I tried plugging this into a binomial calculator but it couldn't process it, but regardless that's going to be some really good chances.

[โ€“] Alexstarfire 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

How do you get 5x10^17 attempts with the lifespan of the sun being 5x10^10 years?

Regardless, they said everyone. They also said the best life possible. That postulates some absolute max for a person. Not some random criteria you can think of.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

Sorry, I did shower maths and that's always a bad idea. Ignore that whole thing. What I was thinking made sense in one particular way, but not in the way I had intended, so it's completely meaningless.

On the criteria, the absolute maximum implies having a criteria and I just chose the assumption that essentially infinite money would give you the best chance of having "the best possible life." I was just aiming for something order of magnitude so had to choose something arbitrarily.

If you can even define the best possible life in a meaningful way, then I'd say it's absolutely 0% chance because to me, a single day of winter ruins it.