this post was submitted on 19 Dec 2023
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Oh, I know. I’m a scientist and I care about causality.
Also, people love to make causal inferences from data like these about BMW drivers being jerks or whatever.
When I first moved out to CA I ran across a random news article about a guy wrapping his just-purchased lambo around a tree on a twisty mountain road, killing himself and his passenger. I think the naive causal inference (too much car for his level of experience) is probably pretty safe. When dealing with highly aggregated, wide ranging, and deliberately assembled stats, we just need to exercise more caution.
Plus, I needed an excuse to post my joke.