this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2023
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I really doubt this. I hate to be that guy, but 90% of things I want to follow are on Twitter still. Very few on mastodon. I'm sure it's a people circle thing.
It's way too easy to use Twitter and complain.. it's way to easy to use reddit .. (if you use their app) and complain.
I don't think there is going to be any sort of mass migration that leaves any of these overnight. All of this stuff needs to be better for end users, not just for people who like the technicals and general idea of the fediverse.
Let me know when companies are on Lemmy and Mastadon. Some companies do support via Twitter. Heck I've gotten better deals from Comcast via their subreddit. Then again there is a general fear of companies being on the fediverse.. so would I get that experience here ever? Idk.. but it's a minus for me.
Edit for tldr: I feel like there is a pseido-toxic echo chamber in the fediverse as a whole that will likely harm it in the long run. I don't see it as being a replacement for other things for regular users at the current trajectory. Hope it changes though.
I'd prefer if all those companies just stay on Twitter and leave Lemmy/Mastadon alone. Their influence is what got the internet into the mess that it's currently in.
It seems like we're heading towards all of this becoming "better for end users", it's just going to take multiple years to reach a point where the fediverse is there for a random non-technical person. Assuming it does get there, there's a lot that can go wrong of course. It does feel plausible to me, if the userbase stays large enough to keep regularly generating fresh content and devs keep improving things. Certainly the incompetent leadership at companies like Reddit and Twitter will continue to do ridiculous things that drive users away in the years to come.
Pretty much this. I agree with you 100%.
As much as I'd like to see Reddit die out and places like Lemmy become more mainstream, I doubt that's going to happen anytime soon.