this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2023
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The Israel-Gaza war is "taking away the focus" from the conflict in Ukraine, the country's President Volodymyr Zelensky has admitted.

He said this was "one of the goals" of Russia, which launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

And he denied that fighting in Ukraine had reached a stalemate, despite a recent assessment to this effect by the country's top military general.

Ukraine's counter-offensive in the south has so far made little headway.

This has prompted fears of war fatigue among Kyiv's Western allies, with suggestions of growing reluctance in some capitals to continue giving Ukraine advanced weapons and funds.

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[–] i_have_no_enemies 8 points 1 year ago (43 children)
[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The number of opportunities they have to actually pull it off are so few and far between just from demographics, geography, and meteorology alone, that you can count with two hands the exact number of days between now and when the window will basically close permanently when they could even hypothetically make an attempt at it without cursing their entire invasion force to the bottom of the sea before they even encounter a defensive line.

Not to mention the rumours that Taiwan has developed a non-nuclear MAD doctrine which would allow them to instantly turn 400,000,000 Chinese citizens into refugees by blowing the 3 gorges dam. A scenario that would require China to turn any deployed forces right around to institute martial law.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Their best bets are;

a) when Trump is convicted

b) when Trump wins

c) when Trump loses

All three of those provide a large enough window where the US will be too busy to stop them

While it’s not telling what the US will do afterwards the question is would they rather have a defensive or offensive position

[–] HotTakesColdUrine 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

How about you try to prove a positive instead of asking for a source to prove something isn't going to happen, debatelord

[–] CosmicCleric 12 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

China is not going to go for Taiwan.

source?

How about you try to prove a positive instead of asking for a source to prove something isn’t going to happen, debatelord

True, you can't prove a negative, but at the same time that person made a firm statement, so someone else's totally in the right to ask for citation to backup what they said.

They could have supplied quotes from Chinese leaders stating that they were never going to invade, etc.

[–] HotTakesColdUrine -2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Anyone who asks someone to prove a prediction is categorically an idiot

[–] CosmicCleric 2 points 1 year ago

Anyone who asks someone to prove a prediction is categorically an idiot

Nobody asked for "proof of a prediction", but to back up their opinions that they are expressing as facts with some actual facts.

[–] i_have_no_enemies 7 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

U.S. top millitary advisor mark milly

"We are taking the Chinese military threat very seriously. And that is the reason why we are making more investment in our own defense capabilities. But we have not been focusing on one timeline only. For example, a lot of people are talking about 2025, some people are talking about 2027, some people talk about 2035, and etc. We take all kinds of assessments in a very serious way. And what we want to be prepared for is no matter when the Chinese are going to launch its military attack against Taiwan, we are prepared. But i think that 2027 is the year that we need to be serious about."

source: https://www.globalplayer.com/podcasts/episodes/7DrfQik/

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

Uhh, a passing acquaintance with reality?

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