this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2023
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Shortly before 7 p.m. Tuesday, a volley of rockets lit up the darkened sky over Gaza. Videos analyzed by The Associated Press show one veering off course, breaking up in the air before crashing to the ground.

Seconds later, the videos show a large explosion in the same area – the site of Gaza’s al-Ahli Arab Hospital.

Who is to blame for the fiery explosion has set off intense debate and finger pointing between the Israeli government and Palestinian militants, further escalating tensions in their two week-long war.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

The other strikes they point out are not at the hospital but "in the area". I guess they are listing a chain of events and noting that Israeli strikes were occurring in the area around the time of the incident.

Everything else about their analysis has to do with potential interception.

GeoConfirmed just posted this, arguing that the rocket was intercepted and the mid air explosion too far away to be related to the hospital.

It looks like a lot of the OSINT crowd are now parroting the Al Jazeera claim if I am reading this correctly

[–] assassin_aragorn 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Based on what GeoConfirmed said it sounds like the Al Jazeera claim is irrelevant to this specific incident though?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

That's what Al Jazeera's claim was. Irrelevance and lack of causal link between the two explosions. Previously, the videos were being used to determine a link and to show a "misfire" leading to the explosion at the hospital, such as in this AP analysis. Now the OSINT groups seem to be saying it is unlikely the munition/rocket can be seen on video.

Now, the narrative is pivoting to a lack of munitions material proving Israeli munitions were used, crater analysis, and arguments about whether or not an air burst explosion could have been involved.

[–] assassin_aragorn 1 points 1 year ago

Ohhh, okay I see now. I didn't realize they were saying it was something else, and not the rocket.