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Every day the reckoning will be worse than it would have been the day before. That's why it should be planned and not A) ripped off like a bandaid or B) have it fail on its own.
Right now the government is doing practically the opposite and reassuring and strengthening the bandaid despite the inevitable need for it to come off.
I get it. I'm also on board with UBI. Hell, I'm even a vegan that isn't calling for an immediate end to all subsidies for the ag industry even though a vast majority of it is in support of a practice that I believe to be highly unethical and horrendous. But I get that it can't change overnight, but that doesn't mean to keep kicking the can down the road either.
The human cost then will be more than the human cost now. It just will be "future" humans instead of the current ones so they so keep supporting it and making it someone else's problem.
Ok, leave a note behind to explain to your children's family why they're in extreme poverty because some folks didn't want to gradually remove a subsidy in a controlled fashion. Again. You're just punishing more future people. But I guess since you don't have to meet them, you're ok with sacrificing their livelihood.
You will never get a UBI while large amounts are subsidizing specific industries. Wanna know where you can get that money though?
The thing is, I don't even think we disagree that much. You just are taking the one approach I advocated against (but still argued would be better than doing nothing; ie keeping the subsidies) and pretending that's my whole argument. I argued for gradual removal of subsidies to correct the market over time. You are advocating for a scenario that likely will never occur without some other large scale disaster or giant swing in public consciousness (UBI will never occur prior to ag having a market bubble pop.... one will never happen during our life, one has a chance to).