this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2023
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I'm not sure what @political_avacado is using, but:
Fedidb.org (https://fedidb.org/software/):
The different sites scrape roughly the same data but not all communities "opt in" to sharing data. The Kbin data is very similar between fediverse.observer and fedidb.org, but the Lemmy count is markedly different.
I think the trend is more important though; both are growing rapidly. I prefer the Kbin interface myself but as Lemmy & Kbin do essentially the same thing, we're looking at 500k overall in the "threadiverse"
EDIT: Also it's worth pointing out that is user accounts, not unique users. Many noobs like me created multiple accounts - one on each instance; I think I have 4 (but 1 is on a site that doesn't seem to be captured by the DB tools as it's so new). Also there will be some spam bots in the number. But the trend shows rapid growth which is great.