this post was submitted on 19 Jun 2023
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As a Kbin user I went to take a look at Kbin, it's about 40k users in all. Looks like all in there'll be more than 100k users.
The monthly stats for users for both Kbin and Lemmy are encouraging, the numbers really spiked in June. I hope this continues for a while yet.
There will be another spike on July 1st IMO, that's when reddit 3rd party apps will stop working, after that things should settle, it's possible some people will go back to reddit but things should normalize after that.
Unless some other big corp decides to sh*it on their users like reddit is doing lol.
I don't think reddit will ever actually die. I'll probably still even check it for information I need if it's a community that didn't move since I have a few eSports I follow and people post tournament threads on Reddit and no where else. But hoping that people move over still. Unfortunately it's a sub that's been re-opened and lots of users aren't even "redditors". A lot are on Reddit for the specific topic :/
I don't think Reddit will go through a dramatic death as Digg did. Digg v4, as many old timers remember, happened in a different era with a different mix of users.
Reddit will slowly become what their management always wanted it to become: a bastard child of facebook. Some may stay because of habit, some simply won't care, it's all the casual crowd Spez is betting on.
That also means it will die a slow death where big flashy subs will be inundated with recycled memes and botspam despite the effort of some with good intentions that still hang into that platform.
If any those become disillusioned and look for another place, Lemmy/Kbin can become that second home.