this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2023
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Humans are good decision makers, we're just not good at paying attention for long periods of time. Which is why I think self-driving cars will eventually be better, but they aren't yet. And those are expert systems (I refuse to call them AI) trained on a well-curated and limited set of data for a limited and specific purpose. Which is an important difference over the generalized generative models. More data does not make better systems, especially more unvalidated data.
But here's another important difference: I can grab the wheel at any time and take over. If we are going to give these systems decision making authority there needs to be an obvious and intuitive override.
Self driving cars are already better than humans. The Waymo cars have a crash rate of 0.59/million miles driven. The national average is 2.98.
I'm betting that most of the self driving car crashes were caused by humans, too.