this post was submitted on 22 Jul 2023
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Europe

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The most likely government to emerge - most analysts predict - will be a coalition including a hard-right nationalist party for the first time in Spain since the death of fascist dictator Francisco Franco in 1975.

More left-leaning Spaniards are frantically texting contacts, urging them to make sure to vote - despite the heat and it being holiday time for many - to "stop the fascists" in their tracks.

The rhetoric this election season has been toxic, with voters becoming increasingly polarised.

It's a fight over values, traditions and about what being Spanish should mean in 2023.

This kind of heated identity debate isn't peculiar to Spain. Think of Italy, France, Brazil or the post-Trumpian debate in the US.

Ed: seems I posted it twice. I get these network errors, so Ideleted the other one.

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[โ€“] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I think this is essentially because the social media and political theatre optimises for and favours popularity rather than truthfulness and scientific evidence seeking. Democracy decides by what people vote - and people don't vote scientifically. If we look at things like prediction markets for instance, we get much better answers for complex issues, because people have skin in the game and loose their money if they're wrong. In current politics, it's ironically more risky and damaging to say an unpopular, uncomfortable but necessary true statement than to simply say a soothing, popular and unnecessary and unproductive lie. After all, lying doesn't cost anything, because society memory of you isn't perfectly logical and unbiquitous.

[โ€“] danielbln 2 points 1 year ago

How does one bring market prediction like incentives into politics, I wonder. How to cure populism?