this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2025
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The most recent European nuclear plants took close to 20 years to build. Even if everything goes according to plan, and in Italy it won't, they take around 10 years to build.
Itβs worse: they are banking on fusion and SMR, which are pipe dreams even at twice the time scale:
I hope they are lying knowing they are lying.
It is a great way to funnel money to your friends, let them get billions for doing some digging and pouring some concrete and then scrape the project claiming the science wasnt there yet.
You're missing an important part that I highlighted. It doesn't mean that they expect to have fusion up and running by 2030.
Last time I saw the ITER roadmap 20 years ago, it was large scale commercial fusion for 2100 and I really doubt that was a game changer which would shorten this roadmap.
Sure US move forward with some startup perfectly knowing that 90% of them will bankrupt (and sell %some patents), 5% will bend to a different field (If you have a patent on better supra-conducing magnet, you can also build MRI and particle accelerators) and may-be 5% will stay on the "fusion research field". But I doubt they'll have a commercial fusion powerplant soon.