this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2025
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Odds go up because we want it to hit earth? Or because of science?
As Astronomers refine the asteroid's course accuracy, the Earth's known path takes up a greater percentage of it until suddenly the likelihood of impact plummets to zero. There's a good video about this. Jump to 7 min for the ;tldw
(Edit: Link)
Was gonna post the same thing. Scottโs two videos on the topic are a great intro for the science-minded general public.