this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2024
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Donald Trump has quietly wound down his presidential campaign in states he was targeting just six weeks ago amid polling evidence showing that Kamala Harris’s entry into the presidential race has put them out of reach and narrowed his path to the White House.

The Republican presidential nominee’s campaign has diverted resources away from Minnesota, Virginia and New Hampshire – states Trump was boasting he could win while Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate – to focus instead on a small number of battleground states.

Money is being poured into the three “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which were all carried by Biden in 2020 and are seen as vital to the outcome of November’s election.

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[–] [email protected] 45 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (15 children)

I love that the election is decided by 3 states containing less than 10% of the population

Pennsylvania: 13M
Wisconsin: 6M
Michigan: 10M
Total US: 333M
29/333 = 8.7%

[–] [email protected] 13 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (4 children)

I mean, if you're going to use that metric, you might as well go smaller, because a lot of people in those states have already made up their mind. It's only voters who might be willing to choose or adjust their vote that are in play.

Only the states that are still undecided enough to tip, and within those, only the voters whose position is still undecided enough to potentially tip.

[–] joostjakob 3 points 3 months ago

Isn't it as much about showing up to vote than about changing minds who to vote for?

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