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Kremlin prepares Russians for 10-year war with complete destruction of Ukraine - ISW
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this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
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Laughable really. Russia has at most 2 years at the going rate of net depletion before completely running out of armour stores. Thinking you'd last another 8 without tanks, APCs, or artillery is crazy.
IMO this is them trying to manipulate a better peace deal and boy are they going to be disappointed.
Yeah and that would be dragging the whole army to be killed in Ukraine, leaving russia undefended lol.
I think mid 2025 will be the real breaking point, with winter 2025 bringing the hammer down if it havent happened before.
But the irony imo is that this wouldn't actually be a huge problem. Who would actively want to attack Russia?
Despite what they constantly claim, Nato really isn't interested in a conflict. And China already gets the resources they want at huge discounts, so why bother with another front when they have set their sights on Taiwan? That only leaves some internal minorities acting up, but it seems to me that those are the same people they are throwing into the meatgrinder that is the current conflict in Ukraine.
NATO is a Defence cooperation, NATO don't want to attack anybody. At all.
Chine would like Manchuria, Japan some lost islands, and why not say Russia attacking Russia in a civil war.
Unlikely due to their constitution, but Japan has contested islands Russia gobbled up at the end of WW2 that they might like to reassert ownership of if it is easy enough.
Yeah i guess that might be the most likely candidate for an opportunistic takeover.
Although their navy is the one thing Russia might not bother (or be able to) send to Ukraine. So that would still stay in the area, making it less likely.
Japan and Finland have some territory claims to press. Pretty soon that might start happening.
I mean, this is Medvedev talking. Anything coming out of his mouth, the only thing you can reasonably do is to mop it up.