(Blue is Biden, Purple is Kamala, Orange is Newsom, Cyan is Whitmer, Burgundy is Obama)
this post was submitted on 18 Jul 2024
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Neoliberal
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Initially he recovered from the debate, most people thought it was fine he just sounded hoarse. Then when the Media turned hard after 36-48 hours and the subreddits went one by one he took a hard second tip. Initially Newsom was the top fav, but with all the funding issues discussion as the days ticked by Kamala surged up. Then they batted equal for a few days until the media storm ended and reports the revolt was 'over' and 'done for' hit over the weekend, he recovered somewhat. Then everything spiked back up again hard and the Nato Interview had a rough start and they were back to batting even. Michelle Obama was the Number 3 pick for a while too, Newsom fell off. Kamala and Biden traded spots again and she briefly had a solid 5 point lead. Then there was a day of no new news and Biden saying he was in again and he actually did really well on that Monday interview., so he climbed up again, and then for like 3 and a half days after the Trump shooting there was a rally effect and his support surged, even passing the lull at the end of June. 15 hours ago was the highest level of faith the Betters had had in Biden since the debate.
Then the rally effect wore off and the replacement faction got back on there feet and Biden suffered his hardest single day drop-off in a day, he went from 70+% at 9 in the morning(compared to 81% pre debate and 29% at his worst like a week ago) to 41% right now, Kamala just passed him in the odds again. Whitmer has also firmly overtaken Obama and Newsom for the Number 3 spot, though overall the Not-BidenORHarris faction is losing ground overall, nothing on the level of the Newsom spike after the debate.
Yeah he just tested positive for COVID, so if you had money against, you probably are up 20-40%.