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this post was submitted on 28 Jun 2024
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He's all delusion.
He barely won the first time (Don't get me wrong. It's insane that he won it all) and he has much worse prospects this time.
I'll be very surprised if he gets elected again.
I really hope you are right. But I remember everyone saying the same the first time around.
I was outside of the country at the time, and From the outside it seemed pretty obvious Trump was going to win.
But talking to everyone inside the US, they believed hillary was going to win, since "polls told them that.
This time, nobody is taking anything for granted, Trump is a felon, he's half a billion dollars in the bag and he still has dozens of felony charges against him.
Anyone that was on the fence knows from his first term that he didn't follow through on any of his campaign promises and in fact is a narcissistic greedy demagogue.
That was not the sentiment the first time around.
Trump's also been directly involved in a conspiracy to defraud the national archives and election officials, so everyone's ready for him to try to steal this election also.
In 2016, nobody took him seriously.
People definitely take him seriously now as a threat, and he's been found liable for rape, treason, election fraud, became a convicted felon and he doesn't have much money.
It's not a lock, but Trump is in a much weaker position than he was the first time and everyone is aware of how much of a threat he is.
Trump substantially closed the funding gap
The outcome of the election is very much in doubt, and the reality is that Trump could win and put in place his dream of a thousand years of rich rapists
Yes, the election has not yet been determined.
Thank goodness we've established how elections work.
"Trump could win"
Biden could win.
Ground rules laid down.
You're really digging into the tough analyses here. Any other insights?